EU sanctions: A key foreign and security policy instrument
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privileges. To date, that has only happened three times: in 1997 (Myanmar/Burma, re-admitted to
the GSP in 2017), in 2007 (Belarus) and in 2010 (Sri Lanka; re-admitted to the GSP in 2017).
Based on environmental rather than human rights concerns, the EU can also ban fisheries imports
from countries having serious problems with illegal fishing. This ban currently applies to three
countries: Cambodia, the Comoros, and St Vincent and the Grenadines. Several others, including
Thailand and Kiribati, have received a warning. The decision to ban fisheries imports from a given
country is proposed by the Commission and confirmed by a qualified-majority decision of the
Council.
Procedures for adopting sanctions-like measures
Adoption procedures vary according to the type of measure: bilateral talks with a third country can
be cut off by an informal Council or European Council decision; development aid is suspended by
the Council of the EU, voting by qualified majority; trade preferences are withdrawn or restored by
a European Commission decision. As with CFSP sanctions, the Parliament is informed of decisions,
but takes no part in them.
What impact do EU sanctions have?
Economic impact of sanctions on targeted countries
As mentioned above, most EU sanctions programmes focus on visa bans, asset freezes and arms
embargoes – measures that have little overall economic effect. However, as the EU is the world's
biggest trading power, when it does adopt economic sanctions, they usually have a considerable
effect. In most cases, that impact is hard to quantify, given that sanctions are only one of many
factors influencing a country's economy.
Russia. One of the EU's most effective sanctions againstRussia is the ban on lending money to state-
owned banks, which has made it much harder for Russian businesses to access Western loans and
investment. In 2016, a US State Department study calculated that the average company targeted by
EU and US sanctions had lost about one-third of its revenue compared to non-sanctioned peers.
Measuring the impact on the broader economy is difficult, given that sanctions coincided with a
75 % drop in the price of crude oil, Russia's main export earner; nevertheless, in 2015 the IMF
estimated that EU and US sanctions were costing Russia 1.5 % of its GDP per year, potentially rising
to 9 % in the long term. Sanctions were therefore the second main cause, after the drop in oil prices,
of Russia's 2015-2016 economic recession.
North Korea. The lack of data from the reclusive country makes it impossible to quantify the impact
of international sanctions; nevertheless, there is strong evidence that North Korea's economy is
suffering. Admittedly, the EU's contribution to this is limited, given that even before sanctions,
Brussels was not a major trade partner, accounting for just7 %of North Korean foreign trade in 2006.
Syria. In 2010, the EU accounted for 95 % of Syrian oil exports and one-third of its foreign trade.
Syria's loss of oil export revenue, combined with other trade and investment restrictions imposed
by the EU and the US, has undoubtedly hurt the country, although any economic impact is tiny
compared to the effects of a devastating civil war, estimated by the World Bank to have cost the
equivalent of 400 % of Syria's pre-conflict GDP.
Iran. In 2012, the EU decided to stop importing Iranian oil, which at the time accounted for 80 % of
Iran's export earnings, 20 % of its GDP, and 80 % of government revenue. As a result of this embargo
and financial sanctions that made it hard for Iran to sell oil elsewhere, the country's oil exports
halved. Given Iran's critical dependence on oil, it is very likely that sanctions played a major part in a
sharp economic downturn: in 2012, growth plummeted to -7.4 %, compared to 2.6 % in 2011. After
sanctions were lifted in 2016, growth rebounded to 13.4 %.