Table 5: Event-Study Estimates of the Effect of Banning Child Marriage on School Enrollment
Girls of age
14-17 14 15 16 17
Child Marriage Banned in 5 Quarter 0.002 -0.000 0.005 -0.007 0.009
(0.005) (0.007) (0.008) (0.012) (0.010)
[0.717] [0.972] [0.504] [0.575] [0.385]
Child Marriage Banned in 4 Quarters 0.005 0.007 -0.004 0.007 0.010
(0.004) (0.005) (0.007) (0.009) (0.008)
[0.228] [0.147] [0.572] [0.489] [0.265]
Child Marriage Banned in 3 Quarters -0.000 0.003 -0.008 -0.002 0.006
(0.003) (0.004) (0.007) (0.010) (0.009)
[0.956] [0.411] [0.329] [0.836] [0.554]
Child Marriage Banned in 2 Quarters -0.002 0.000 -0.006 -0.002 0.003
(0.002) (0.003) (0.006) (0.007) (0.008)
[0.522] [0.975] [0.281] [0.764] [0.680]
Child Marriage Banned this Quarter -0.001 -0.003 -0.002 -0.002 0.002
(0.003) (0.004) (0.006) (0.009) (0.008)
[0.723] [0.542] [0.778] [0.848] [0.853]
Child Marriage Banned 1 Quarter Ago -0.002 -0.001 -0.007 -0.010 0.009
(0.004) (0.006) (0.008) (0.009) (0.009)
[0.614] [0.897] [0.450] [0.252] [0.325]
Child Marriage Banned 2 Quarters Ago -0.003 -0.002 -0.003 -0.010 0.005
(0.005) (0.006) (0.007) (0.012) (0.007)
[0.584] [0.754] [0.731] [0.431] [0.458]
Child Marriage Banned 3 Quarters Ago -0.007 -0.008 0.002 -0.009 -0.012
(0.005) (0.007) (0.008) (0.010) (0.009)
[0.237] [0.217] [0.800] [0.405] [0.246]
Child Marriage Banned 4 Quarters Ago -0.011 -0.014 0.001 -0.014 -0.018**
(0.006) (0.008) (0.010) (0.013) (0.008)
[0.123] [0.108] [0.954] [0.298] [0.037]
Child Marriage Banned 5 Quarters Ago -0.012 -0.012 -0.017 -0.008 -0.009
(0.008) (0.009) (0.013) (0.015) (0.011)
[0.197] [0.231] [0.242] [0.632] [0.450]
Child Marriage Banned 6 Quarters Ago -0.012 -0.010 -0.013 -0.010 -0.016
(0.008) (0.008) (0.011) (0.014) (0.011)
[0.149] [0.243] [0.329] [0.551] [0.163]
Child Marriage Banned 7 Quarters Ago -0.019* -0.017* -0.018 -0.020 -0.019
(0.008) (0.009) (0.012) (0.014) (0.015)
[0.056] [0.066] [0.180] [0.201] [0.211]
Quarter-year FE X X X X X
State FE X X X X X
Controls X X X X X
Observations 713,451 175,375 182,177 178,717 177,182
R
2
0.082 0.025 0.039 0.051 0.053
Dependent Variable Mean 0.813 0.927 0.850 0.768 0.711
Notes: The sample is composed of girls of the age specified in the column header interviewed in ENOE
between 2007 and 2018. The dependent variable is a dummy for whether the girl attended school or
completed high school at the moment of the survey. The regressors of interest are dummy variables for
each quarter relative to the period in which child marriage was banned in the girl’s state of residence,
with the quarter before the reform being the omitted category. We only report 5 lead coefficients for
ease of interpretation, and 7 lag coefficients because there are few states for which more than 7 quarters
have passed since the reform was enacted. The regression also includes state fixed effects, quarter-year
fixed effects, states’ unemployment rate, poverty rate, female labor force participation, average income of
employed individuals, population (in ln), dummy variables for whether the state governor belongs to PRI,
PAN, PRD or another political party, age dummies, and town-size dummies. Standard errors clustered
by state are in parentheses, and cluster-robust wild-bootstrap p-values in square brackets. * significant at
10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%.
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